Inter Kashi FC vs. North East United FC - More Markets
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 42% across 10 Kalshi contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
42%
10 contracts
Polymarket
—
not bound
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$623
10 contracts
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
450 days
30-day trend
Bracket families
2 clusters across 10 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Heads-up — heterogeneous clusters
The top two clusters share only 7% of their title tokens — “Will the margin of victory” vs “Will Manchester United men's soccer win at least 5 games in a row this year”. The headline aggregate weights both, so the number on this page is meaningful only if the clusters resolve to the same question.
Cluster 1
Will the margin of victory
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in North Carolina be at least 5 percentage points?: Democrats, 5+ pts
KXMIDTERMMOV-NCSEND-P5
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in North Carolina be at least 13 percentage points?: Democrats, 13+ pts
KXMIDTERMMOV-NCSEND-P13
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in North Carolina be at least 1 percentage points?: Democrats, 1+ pts
KXMIDTERMMOV-NCSEND-P1
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in North Carolina be at least 3 percentage points?: Democrats, 3+ pts
KXMIDTERMMOV-NCSEND-P3
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in North Carolina be at least 7 percentage points?: Democrats, 7+ pts
KXMIDTERMMOV-NCSEND-P7
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in North Carolina be at least 3 percentage points?: Republicans, 3+ pts
KXMIDTERMMOV-NCSENR-P3
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in North Carolina be at least 11 percentage points?: Democrats, 11+ pts
KXMIDTERMMOV-NCSEND-P11
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in North Carolina be at least 9 percentage points?: Democrats, 9+ pts
KXMIDTERMMOV-NCSEND-P9
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in North Carolina be at least 1 percentage points?: Republicans, 1+ pts
KXMIDTERMMOV-NCSENR-P1
Cluster 2
Will Manchester United men's soccer win at least 5 games in a row this year
Will Manchester United men's soccer win at least 5 games in a row this year?: 5+ wins in a row
KXWINSTREAKMANU-27-5
Analysis
The 41% probability indicates roughly even odds that Inter Kashi FC will defeat North East United FC in their upcoming match. This prediction is based on limited market activity through Kalshi contracts. The current level likely reflects uncertainty about team form, head-to-head records, and any recent roster changes or injuries affecting either squad. Home-field advantage, if applicable, and recent performance trends would be the primary factors pushing this probability up or down. The resolution will occur at match conclusion, when the final result becomes known. Market confidence remains modest given the low trading volume and limited number of active contracts informing this probability.
- ›Recent win-loss records and goal differential for both Inter Kashi FC and North East United FC over their last 5-10 matches
- ›Head-to-head historical results between these two clubs, including home and away performance splits
- ›Current injury status or roster availability of key players for either team
- ›Home field advantage if applicable, including historical performance patterns at each team's stadium
- ›Time of year and league standing context, which may indicate motivation level or player fatigue
What moved the line
- Aug 85+ wins in a row↓8pp47→39¢ · Kalshi
- Aug 65+ wins in a row↑7pp39→46¢ · Kalshi
- Aug 105+ wins in a row↓5pp39→34¢ · Kalshi
- Aug 35+ wins in a row↓3pp40→37¢ · Kalshi
- Aug 55+ wins in a row↑3pp36→39¢ · Kalshi
Recently closed in general
- Who will be Trump's next Attorney Generallast 97% · 0d
- Will the number of Cabinet nominees confirmed by the Senate be exactly 3 after Issuance and before the 2026 August recesslast 7% · 1d
- Will it be reported by U.S. Senate that the U.S. Senate adjourns from substantive floor business for its August 2026 recess before Aug 9, 2026last 94% · 1d
- Will Ralph Norman announce a run for the Class 2 United States Senate seat from South Carolina in 2026last 4% · 1d
- Will there be at least 3 presidential nominations sent to the Senate in the week of Jul 19, 2026last 46% · 3d
These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
More like this
Adjacent prediction questions.
In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
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