What is the current probability for "Will Andrej Nedic win the Erhard vs Nedic: Round Of 16 match?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 67¢ (67% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on May 13, 2026. 14 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Will Andrej Nedic win the Erhard vs Nedic: Round Of 16 match?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 1477.4% and 4669.3% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Will Andrej Nedic win the Erhard vs Nedic: Round Of 16 match?"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Will Andrej Nedic win the Erhard vs Nedic: Round Of 16 match?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 67% probability that Will Andrej Nedic win the Erhard vs Nedic: Round Of 16 match?. This contract trades at 67¢ on Kalshi, closing May 13, 2026.

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67¢

Bid/Ask 66/67¢·Spread 1¢·Vol $250,856.53·OI $177,087.79·Closes May 13, 2026·14d remaining

KXATPCHALLENGERMATCH-26APR29ERHNED-NED

7-day price27 snapshots · 6 regime

90¢64¢ current

Apr 2855¢Apr 29

Resolution rules

If Andrej Nedic wins the Erhard vs Nedic professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Shymkent II Round Of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 1477.4%

IY (No) 4669.3%

Adj IY 4596%

CRI 2

RV 3024%

VR 7.88

▶ Full indicator table (8)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	1477.4%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	4669.3%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	4596%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	2	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
RV	3024%	Realized Volatility — annualized stddev from 48h price history
VR	7.88	Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead
IAR	2.1/h	Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h)
LAS	0.02	Liquidity Availability Score

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

1¢

Computed

4/29/2026, 8:48:08 AM

Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/29/2026, 8:38:27 AM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXATPCHALLENGERMATCH-26APR29ERHNED-NED yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →Realized Volatility →