Will anyone win the 2026 Georgia Attorney General general election election in the first round?
Prediction markets currently give a 78% probability that Will anyone win the 2026 Georgia Attorney General general election election in the first round?. This contract trades at 78¢ on Kalshi, closing November 3, 2027. This market shows extreme illiquidity with only $52 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 78¢ price potentially unreliable for actual trading.
Analysis
This market shows extreme illiquidity with only $52 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 78¢ price potentially unreliable for actual trading. The massive 228.8% implied yield on the No side suggests severe mispricing—traders betting against a first-round winner would need extraordinary confidence to justify that risk premium, yet the negligible volume indicates little conviction behind either position. With 566 days to expiry and a 7¢ price decline over the past week, this appears to be a speculative contract with minimal market depth rather than a genuine probability assessment.
Resolution rules
If any candidate receives the required threshold of votes to be declared the winner after the first round of voting in the 2026 Georgia Attorney General general election, eliminating the need for any subsequent rounds, runoffs, or instant-runoff tabulations, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXGA1ROUND-26NOV03-AG yes 100