Commissioner of Insurance · Will anyone win the 2026 Georgia
Commissioner of Insurance is priced at 84¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 70¢ bid, 88¢ ask, 18¢ spread. This outcome ranks #8 of 9 inside Will anyone win the 2026 Georgia.
Price history
84¢ current
+14¢Contract brief
If any candidate receives the required threshold of votes to be declared the winner after the first round of voting in the 2026 Georgia Commissioner of Insurance general election, eliminating the need for any subsequent rounds, runoffs, or instant-runoff tabulations, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Commissioner of Insurance
Rank
#8 of 9
Leader
Commissioner of Labor 86¢
Range
60¢-86¢
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXGA1ROUND-26NOV03-COI
Jun 17, 2026, 1:38 PM UTC · 9m ago
Implied probability
Bid
70¢
Ask
88¢
Spread
18¢
Reported volume
$7K
Family rank
#8 of 9
9 outcomes · Will anyone win the 2026 Georgia
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
70 / 88¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If any candidate receives the required threshold of votes to be declared the winner after the first round of voting in the 2026 Georgia Commissioner of Insurance general election, eliminating the need for any subsequent rounds, runoffs, or instant-runoff tabulations, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Identifier
KXGA1ROUND-26NOV03-COI
Event family
Will anyone win the 2026 Georgia.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
9
Highest price
Commissioner of Labor 86¢
Current share
—
Commissioner of Labor
kalshi · KXGA1ROUND-26NOV03-COL
Commissioner of Agriculture
kalshi · KXGA1ROUND-26NOV03-COM
Lieutenant Governor
kalshi · KXGA1ROUND-26NOV03-LTGOV
State Superintendent of Schools
kalshi · KXGA1ROUND-26NOV03-SUP
Attorney General
kalshi · KXGA1ROUND-26NOV03-AG
Secretary of State
kalshi · KXGA1ROUND-26NOV03-SOS
Governor
kalshi · KXGA1ROUND-26NOV03-GOV
Commissioner of Insurance
kalshi · KXGA1ROUND-26NOV03-COI
Senate
kalshi · KXGA1ROUND-26NOV03-SEN
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
maker
Score
0.295
Observability
none
Event type
political
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.