Secretary of State · Will anyone win the 2026 Georgia
Secretary of State is priced at 86¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 86¢ bid, 90¢ ask, 4¢ spread. This outcome ranks #6 of 9 inside Will anyone win the 2026 Georgia.
Price history
86¢ current
Contract brief
If any candidate receives the required threshold of votes (over 50%) to be declared the winner after the first round of voting in the 2026 Georgia Secretary of State general election, eliminating the need for any subsequent rounds, runoffs, or instant-runoff tabulations, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Secretary of State
Rank
#6 of 9
Leader
Commissioner of Agriculture 94¢
Range
86¢-94¢
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXGA1ROUND-26NOV03-SOS
Aug 22, 2026, 10:38 PM UTC · 7m ago
Implied probability
Bid
86¢
Ask
90¢
Spread
4¢
Reported volume
$761
Family rank
#6 of 9
9 outcomes · Will anyone win the 2026 Georgia
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
86 / 90¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If any candidate receives the required threshold of votes (over 50%) to be declared the winner after the first round of voting in the 2026 Georgia Secretary of State general election, eliminating the need for any subsequent rounds, runoffs, or instant-runoff tabulations, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Identifier
KXGA1ROUND-26NOV03-SOS
Event family
Will anyone win the 2026 Georgia.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
9
Highest price
Commissioner of Agriculture 94¢
Current share
—
Commissioner of Agriculture
kalshi · KXGA1ROUND-26NOV03-COM
Senate
kalshi · KXGA1ROUND-26NOV03-SEN
Governor
kalshi · KXGA1ROUND-26NOV03-GOV
Lieutenant Governor
kalshi · KXGA1ROUND-26NOV03-LTGOV
Commissioner of Labor
kalshi · KXGA1ROUND-26NOV03-COL
Secretary of State
kalshi · KXGA1ROUND-26NOV03-SOS
Attorney General
kalshi · KXGA1ROUND-26NOV03-AG
Commissioner of Insurance
kalshi · KXGA1ROUND-26NOV03-COI
State Superintendent of Schools
kalshi · KXGA1ROUND-26NOV03-SUP
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.341
Observability
none
Event type
political
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.