SimpleFunctions
KalshiMay 25, 202621 days left

Will Atlanta be awarded with a top 5 pick in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft Lottery?

This contract is priced at 39¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 35¢ bid, 43¢ ask, 8¢ spread.

Implied probability

39¢
$249 volume
$237 liquidity
33% of event volume

Event outcomes

15

Family volume

$762

Best sibling

Charlotte 8¢

Ticker

KXNBALOTTERY-26T5-ATL

Price history

39¢ current

25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 3, 2026May 3, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

35 / 43¢

Kalshi
8¢ spread
BidSize
35¢501
33¢500
11¢50
7¢1.5K
AskSize
43¢500
44¢684
85¢13
86¢50
87¢2.5K

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Atlanta is awarded a top 5 pick in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft Lottery, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

May 25, 2026

Identifier

KXNBALOTTERY-26T5-ATL

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

3170.5%

IY (No)

919.3%

Adj IY

1404%

CRI

2

Overround

3.6%

LAS

0.11

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

3170.5%
919.3%
Adj IY
1404%
2
Overround
3.6%
LAS
0.11

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