SimpleFunctions
KalshiMay 25, 202621 days left

Will Washington be awarded with a top 5 pick in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft Lottery?

This contract is priced at 90¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 95¢ bid, 100¢ ask, 5¢ spread.

Implied probability

90¢
$15 volume
$15 liquidity
2% of event volume

Event outcomes

15

Family volume

$762

Best sibling

Charlotte 8¢

Ticker

KXNBALOTTERY-26T5-WAS

Price history

90¢ current

5¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 1, 2026May 3, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

95 / 100¢

Kalshi
5¢ spread
BidSize
95¢500
93¢500
23¢2.9K
22¢52
AskSize

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Washington is awarded a top 5 pick in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft Lottery, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

May 25, 2026

Identifier

KXNBALOTTERY-26T5-WAS

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

89.9%

IY (No)

32436.9%

Adj IY

15365%

CRI

19

Overround

3.6%

LAS

0.05

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

89.9%
32436.9%
Adj IY
15365%
19
Overround
3.6%
LAS
0.05

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