SimpleFunctions
KalshiMay 25, 202621 days left

Will Golden State be awarded with a top 5 pick in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft Lottery?

This contract is priced at 9¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 5¢ bid, 13¢ ask, 8¢ spread.

Implied probability

9¢
$135 volume
$135 liquidity
18% of event volume

Event outcomes

15

Family volume

$762

Best sibling

Charlotte 8¢

Ticker

KXNBALOTTERY-26T5-GSW

Price history

9¢ current

+5¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 1, 2026May 3, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

5 / 13¢

Kalshi
8¢ spread
BidSize
5¢5
4¢500
2¢500
AskSize
13¢5
14¢501
16¢500
47¢49
48¢1.1K

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Golden State is awarded a top 5 pick in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft Lottery, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

May 25, 2026

Identifier

KXNBALOTTERY-26T5-GSW

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

32436.9%

IY (No)

89.9%

Adj IY

0%

CRI

19

Overround

3.6%

LAS

1.00

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

32436.9%
89.9%
Adj IY
0%
19
Overround
3.6%
LAS
1.00

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