SimpleFunctions
KalshiMay 25, 202621 days left

Will Los Angeles C be awarded with a top 5 pick in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft Lottery?

This contract is priced at 26¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 23¢ bid, 28¢ ask, 5¢ spread.

Implied probability

26¢
$0 volume
5.6 LAS liquidity
0% of event volume

Event outcomes

15

Family volume

$762

Best sibling

Charlotte 8¢

Ticker

KXNBALOTTERY-26T5-LAC

Price history

26¢ current

+24¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 1, 2026May 1, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

23 / 28¢

Kalshi
5¢ spread
BidSize
100¢5.0K
23¢500
21¢500
6¢49
AskSize
28¢80
29¢500
31¢500
97¢5.0K
98¢48

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Los Angeles C is awarded a top 5 pick in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft Lottery, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

May 25, 2026

Identifier

KXNBALOTTERY-26T5-LAC

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

5715.4%

IY (No)

509.9%

Adj IY

2236%

CRI

3

Overround

3.6%

LAS

0.22

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

5715.4%
509.9%
Adj IY
2236%
3
Overround
3.6%
LAS
0.22

Odds pages

Related prediction questions

Browse odds

Related readings

Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.

Browse library
Blogmarkets

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?

In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.

Opinioncomparison

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)

Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.

Blogmarkets

Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity

How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.

Technicalguide

Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity

Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.

Opinionanalysis

Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets

Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.

Opinionanalysis

Implied Yield vs Raw Probability: Why Bond-Adjacent Prediction Markets Need a Different Lens

Why fixed-income-adjacent prediction-market contracts need to be priced in implied yield, not raw probability, with two real Kalshi Fed-decision contracts as a case study.

SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index