Hun Manet · KXWHVISIT-27
Hun Manet is priced at 7¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 6¢ bid, 13¢ ask, 7¢ spread. This outcome ranks #14 of 16 inside KXWHVISIT-27.
Price history
7¢ current
Contract brief
If Hun Manet visits the White House after Jan 5, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Hun Manet
Rank
#14 of 16
Leader
Volodymyr Zelenskyy 93¢
Range
2¢-93¢
Family volume
$3K
Identifier
KXWHVISIT-27-HMAN
Jul 24, 2026, 4:38 PM UTC · 24m ago
Implied probability
Bid
6¢
Ask
13¢
Spread
7¢
Reported volume
$616
Family rank
#14 of 16
16 outcomes · KXWHVISIT-27
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Family volume
$3K
Orderbook snapshot
6 / 13¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Hun Manet visits the White House after Jan 5, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
KXWHVISIT-27-HMAN
Event family
KXWHVISIT-27.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$3K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Volodymyr Zelenskyy 93¢
Current share
0%
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
kalshi · KXWHVISIT-27-VZEL
Xi Jinping
kalshi · KXWHVISIT-27-XJIN
Elon Musk
kalshi · KXWHVISIT-27-EMUS
Abelardo de la Espriella
kalshi · KXWHVISIT-27-AESP
Abdel Fattah al-Sisi
kalshi · KXWHVISIT-27-AALS
Hakeem Jeffries
kalshi · KXWHVISIT-27-HJEF
Claudia Sheinbaum
kalshi · KXWHVISIT-27-CSHE
Cristiano Ronaldo
kalshi · KXWHVISIT-27-CRON
Abiy Ahmed
kalshi · KXWHVISIT-27-AAHM
Bill Maher
kalshi · KXWHVISIT-27-BMAH
Gavin Newsom
kalshi · KXWHVISIT-27-GNEW
Eric Adams
kalshi · KXWHVISIT-27-EADA
Bola Ahmed Tinubu
kalshi · KXWHVISIT-27-BTIN
Hun Manet
kalshi · KXWHVISIT-27-HMAN
Anutin Charnvirakul
kalshi · KXWHVISIT-27-ACHA
Marjorie Taylor Greene
kalshi · KXWHVISIT-27-MTG
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Observability
high
Event type
political
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.