Jaxson Dart · KXWHVISIT-27
Jaxson Dart is priced at 16¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 15¢ bid, 17¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #7 of 16 inside KXWHVISIT-27.
Price history
16¢ current
−3¢Contract brief
If Jaxson Dart visits the White House after May 23, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Jaxson Dart
Rank
#7 of 16
Leader
Elon Musk 69¢
Range
4¢-69¢
Family volume
$192
Identifier
KXWHVISIT-27-JDAR
Jul 31, 2026, 3:08 AM UTC · 23m ago
Implied probability
Bid
15¢
Ask
17¢
Spread
2¢
Reported volume
$169
Family rank
#7 of 16
16 outcomes · KXWHVISIT-27
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Family volume
$192
Orderbook snapshot
15 / 17¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Jaxson Dart visits the White House after May 23, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
KXWHVISIT-27-JDAR
Event family
KXWHVISIT-27.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$192
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Elon Musk 69¢
Current share
0%
Elon Musk
kalshi · KXWHVISIT-27-EMUS
Abelardo de la Espriella
kalshi · KXWHVISIT-27-AESP
Abdel Fattah al-Sisi
kalshi · KXWHVISIT-27-AALS
Hakeem Jeffries
kalshi · KXWHVISIT-27-HJEF
Claudia Sheinbaum
kalshi · KXWHVISIT-27-CSHE
Abiy Ahmed
kalshi · KXWHVISIT-27-AAHM
Jaxson Dart
kalshi · KXWHVISIT-27-JDAR
Bill Maher
kalshi · KXWHVISIT-27-BMAH
Gavin Newsom
kalshi · KXWHVISIT-27-GNEW
Cristiano Ronaldo
kalshi · KXWHVISIT-27-CRON
Bola Ahmed Tinubu
kalshi · KXWHVISIT-27-BTIN
Eric Adams
kalshi · KXWHVISIT-27-EADA
Vladimir Putin
kalshi · KXWHVISIT-27-VPUT
Hun Manet
kalshi · KXWHVISIT-27-HMAN
Anutin Charnvirakul
kalshi · KXWHVISIT-27-ACHA
Joe Biden
kalshi · KXWHVISIT-27-JBID
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.