Jaxson Dart · KXWHVISIT-27
Jaxson Dart is priced at 20¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 12¢ bid, 97¢ ask, 85¢ spread. This outcome ranks #6 of 16 inside KXWHVISIT-27.
Price history
20¢ current
+13¢Contract brief
If Jaxson Dart visits the White House after May 23, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Jaxson Dart
Rank
#6 of 16
Leader
Xi Jinping 95¢
Range
1¢-95¢
Family volume
$2K
Identifier
KXWHVISIT-27-JDAR
Sep 18, 2026, 5:08 PM UTC · 20m ago
Implied probability
Bid
12¢
Ask
97¢
Spread
85¢
Reported volume
$203
Family rank
#6 of 16
16 outcomes · KXWHVISIT-27
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Family volume
$2K
Orderbook snapshot
12 / 97¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Jaxson Dart visits the White House after May 23, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
KXWHVISIT-27-JDAR
Event family
KXWHVISIT-27.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$2K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Xi Jinping 95¢
Current share
0%
Xi Jinping
kalshi · KXWHVISIT-27-XJIN
Elon Musk
kalshi · KXWHVISIT-27-EMUS
John Ternus
kalshi · KXWHVISIT-27-JTER
Claudia Sheinbaum
kalshi · KXWHVISIT-27-CSHE
Abiy Ahmed
kalshi · KXWHVISIT-27-AAHM
Jaxson Dart
kalshi · KXWHVISIT-27-JDAR
Anutin Charnvirakul
kalshi · KXWHVISIT-27-ACHA
Cristiano Ronaldo
kalshi · KXWHVISIT-27-CRON
Gavin Newsom
kalshi · KXWHVISIT-27-GNEW
Eric Adams
kalshi · KXWHVISIT-27-EADA
Hakeem Jeffries
kalshi · KXWHVISIT-27-HJEF
Abelardo de la Espriella
kalshi · KXWHVISIT-27-AESP
Hun Manet
kalshi · KXWHVISIT-27-HMAN
Bill Maher
kalshi · KXWHVISIT-27-BMAH
Abdel Fattah al-Sisi
kalshi · KXWHVISIT-27-AALS
Bola Ahmed Tinubu
kalshi · KXWHVISIT-27-BTIN
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.