Abdel Fattah al-Sisi · KXWHVISIT-27
Abdel Fattah al-Sisi is priced at 55¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 55¢ bid, 59¢ ask, 4¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 16 inside KXWHVISIT-27.
Price history
55¢ current
−13¢Contract brief
If Abdel Fattah al-Sisi visits the White House after Jan 5, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Abdel Fattah al-Sisi
Rank
#4 of 16
Leader
Xi Jinping 88¢
Range
3¢-88¢
Family volume
$38
Identifier
KXWHVISIT-27-AALS
Jun 17, 2026, 1:08 AM UTC · 24m ago
Implied probability
Bid
55¢
Ask
59¢
Spread
4¢
24h volume
$10
Family rank
#4 of 16
16 outcomes · KXWHVISIT-27
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Family volume
$38
Orderbook snapshot
55 / 59¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Abdel Fattah al-Sisi visits the White House after Jan 5, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
KXWHVISIT-27-AALS
Event family
KXWHVISIT-27.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$38
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Xi Jinping 88¢
Current share
26%
Xi Jinping
kalshi · KXWHVISIT-27-XJIN
Elon Musk
kalshi · KXWHVISIT-27-EMUS
Hakeem Jeffries
kalshi · KXWHVISIT-27-HJEF
Abdel Fattah al-Sisi
kalshi · KXWHVISIT-27-AALS
Claudia Sheinbaum
kalshi · KXWHVISIT-27-CSHE
Jaxson Dart
kalshi · KXWHVISIT-27-JDAR
Abiy Ahmed
kalshi · KXWHVISIT-27-AAHM
Bill Maher
kalshi · KXWHVISIT-27-BMAH
Cristiano Ronaldo
kalshi · KXWHVISIT-27-CRON
Gavin Newsom
kalshi · KXWHVISIT-27-GNEW
Eric Adams
kalshi · KXWHVISIT-27-EADA
Bola Ahmed Tinubu
kalshi · KXWHVISIT-27-BTIN
Hun Manet
kalshi · KXWHVISIT-27-HMAN
Jerome Powell
kalshi · KXWHVISIT-27-JPOW
Anutin Charnvirakul
kalshi · KXWHVISIT-27-ACHA
Joe Biden
kalshi · KXWHVISIT-27-JBID
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Observability
high
Event type
political
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 55% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
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Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.