Will Buffalo be one of the 2026-27 Pro Football playoff qualifiers?

Prediction markets currently give a 75% probability that Will Buffalo be one of the 2026-27 Pro Football playoff qualifiers?. This contract trades at 75¢ on Kalshi, closing January 25, 2027. Buffalo's playoff qualification is priced at a robust 75¢ reflecting the Bills' consistent competitiveness, though the market shows minimal conviction with zero 24-hour volume and just $374 open interest.

██████████████████████████████░░░░░░░░░░
75¢
Bid/Ask 75/77¢·Spread 2¢·Vol $0·OI $374·Closes Jan 25, 2027·279d remaining
KXNFLPLAYOFF-27-BUF
7-day price16 snapshots · 2 regime
76¢75¢ current
Apr 974¢Apr 21

Analysis

4d ago

Buffalo's playoff qualification is priced at a robust 75¢ reflecting the Bills' consistent competitiveness, though the market shows minimal conviction with zero 24-hour volume and just $374 open interest. The extreme 407.6% implied yield on the No side signals thin liquidity and suggests the 3¢ spread may not fully capture true uncertainty, particularly given the 284-day time horizon where roster changes and injuries could materially shift outcomes. The modest 2¢ price appreciation over seven days indicates stable sentiment rather than meaningful new information driving the market.

Resolution rules

If Buffalo is one of the Pro Football playoff qualifiers, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 43.7%
IY (No) 392.9%
Adj IY 196%
CRI 3
Overround 13.4%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)43.7%
IY (No)392.9%
Adj IY196%
CRI3
Overround13.4%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
2¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 9:39:36 PM
Indicators computed 4/21/2026, 9:38:17 PM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXNFLPLAYOFF-27-BUF yes 100

Related concepts

Related Prediction Market Questions