SimpleFunctions
KalshiDec 26, 2026231 days left

Will Charli xcx have a top 10 song this year?

This contract is priced at 33¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 20¢ bid, 33¢ ask, 13¢ spread.

Implied probability

33¢
$1K volume
$1K liquidity
2325% of event volume

Event outcomes

16

Family volume

$60

Best sibling

Gracie Abrams 50¢

Ticker

KX10SONG-26-XCX

Market snapshot

Charli xcx in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Charli xcx have a top 10 song this year?. The displayed quote is 33¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $9. In the KX10SONG-26 family, this outcome ranks #8 of 16 by current quote across 16 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 4:23 AM UTC.

Outcome

Charli xcx

Family rank

#8 of 16

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

33¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Dec 26, 2026

24h volume

$9

Family context

16 outcomes · KX10SONG-26

Quote range

1¢-99¢

Family leader

Olivia Rodrigo 99¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 4:23 AM UTC · 2m ago

Venue identifier: KX10SONG-26-XCX. Family volume: $60.

Price history

33¢ current

+15¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 8, 2026May 7, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

20 / 33¢

Kalshi
13¢ spread
BidSize
100¢480
20¢205
11¢274
10¢400
2¢2.6K
AskSize
33¢200
39¢400
58¢400
82¢280
83¢1.9K

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Charli xcx has a top 10 song on the Billboard Hot 100 (including features), by the Billboard issue for the week of Dec 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Dec 26, 2026

Identifier

KX10SONG-26-XCX

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

630.8%

IY (No)

39.4%

Adj IY

110%

CRI

4

Overround

15.6%

LAS

0.65

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

630.8%
39.4%
Adj IY
110%
4
Overround
15.6%
LAS
0.65

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