SimpleFunctions
KalshiMay 12, 20269 days left

Will CPI rise more than 0.5% in April 2026?

This contract is priced at 52¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 52¢ bid, 53¢ ask, 1¢ spread.

Implied probability

52¢
$146K volume
$72K liquidity
1400% of event volume

Event outcomes

12

Family volume

$10K

Best sibling

Above 0.6% 20¢

Ticker

KXCPI-26APR-T0.5

Price history

52¢ current

+37¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 8, 2026May 3, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

52 / 53¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
52¢1
51¢2.4K
50¢5.2K
48¢2
47¢10
AskSize
53¢3.1K
54¢1.1K
55¢2.1K
59¢5.3K
60¢5.3K

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 0.5% (single-decimal) in April 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

May 12, 2026

Identifier

KXCPI-26APR-T0.5

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.512

Observability

high

Event type

data_release

Full indicator table

3978.7%
4310.2%
Adj IY
2113%
1
8.000
Overround
1.6%
LAS
0.02

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