What is the current probability for "Will Detroit win the 1H by over 1.5 points?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 86¢ (86% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on May 12, 2026. 14 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Will Detroit win the 1H by over 1.5 points?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 498.3% and 13734.6% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Will Detroit win the 1H by over 1.5 points?"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Will Detroit win the 1H by over 1.5 points?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 86% probability that Will Detroit win the 1H by over 1.5 points?. This contract trades at 86¢ on Kalshi, closing May 12, 2026.

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86¢

Bid/Ask 78/84¢·Spread 6¢·Vol $177,524.01·OI $108,783.02·Closes May 12, 2026·14d remaining

KXNBA1HSPREAD-26APR27DETORL-DET1

7-day price71 snapshots · 18 regime

84¢84¢ current

Apr 2620¢Apr 28

Resolution rules

If Detroit wins the 1st Half by more than 1.5 points in the Detroit vs Orlando professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 498.3%

IY (No) 13734.6%

Adj IY 13408%

CRI 5

RV 1782%

VR 3.91

▶ Full indicator table (9)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	498.3%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	13734.6%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	13408%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	5	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
RV	1782%	Realized Volatility — annualized stddev from 48h price history
VR	3.91	Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead
IAR	1.5/h	Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h)
Overround	1.8%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family
LAS	0.02	Liquidity Availability Score

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

6¢

Computed

4/28/2026, 1:10:22 AM

Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/28/2026, 1:08:53 AM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXNBA1HSPREAD-26APR27DETORL-DET1 yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →Realized Volatility →