SimpleFunctions
KalshiDec 26, 2026231 days left

Will Dominic Fike have a top 10 song this year?

This contract is priced at 24¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 24¢ bid, 41¢ ask, 17¢ spread.

Implied probability

24¢
$4K volume
$1K liquidity
3989% of event volume

Event outcomes

16

Family volume

$90

Best sibling

Future 47¢

Ticker

KX10SONG-26-DOM

Market snapshot

Dominic Fike in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Dominic Fike have a top 10 song this year?. The displayed quote is 24¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $4K. In the KX10SONG-26 family, this outcome ranks #7 of 16 by current quote across 16 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 9:38 AM UTC.

Outcome

Dominic Fike

Family rank

#7 of 16

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

24¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Dec 26, 2026

Reported volume

$4K

Family context

16 outcomes · KX10SONG-26

Quote range

1¢-99¢

Family leader

Olivia Rodrigo 99¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 9:38 AM UTC · 6m ago

Venue identifier: KX10SONG-26-DOM. Family volume: $90.

Price history

24¢ current

44¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 9, 2026May 9, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

24 / 41¢

Kalshi
17¢ spread
BidSize
24¢4
23¢200
12¢16
7¢20
6¢32
AskSize
41¢11
42¢200
53¢16
66¢16
74¢39

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Dominic Fike has a top 10 song on the Billboard Hot 100 (including features), by the Billboard issue for the week of Dec 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Dec 26, 2026

Identifier

KX10SONG-26-DOM

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

499.9%

IY (No)

49.8%

Adj IY

146%

CRI

3

RV

361%

VR

1.73

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

499.9%
49.8%
Adj IY
146%
3
RV
361%
VR
1.73
IAR
0.3/h
Overround
15.7%
LAS
0.71

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