Will EL ÚLTIMO TOUR DEL MUNDO by Bad Bunny have above 21,586,461 Streams on Luminate from April 17 - April 23?

Prediction markets currently give a 46% probability that Will EL ÚLTIMO TOUR DEL MUNDO by Bad Bunny have above 21,586,461 Streams on Luminate from April 17 - April 23?. This contract trades at 46¢ on Kalshi, closing April 25, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and open interest, making the 0¢ price unreliable as a probability estimate rather than a reflection of genuine market consensus.

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46¢mid
Bid/Ask 5/86¢·Spread 81¢·Vol $0·OI $0·Closes Apr 25, 2026·3d remaining
KXALBUMSTREAMSU-WUTDMBUNNY26APR23-21.6M
7-day price125 snapshots · 4 regime
6¢5¢ current
Apr 172¢Apr 22

Analysis

4d ago

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and open interest, making the 0¢ price unreliable as a probability estimate rather than a reflection of genuine market consensus. The 96¢ spread is exceptionally wide, indicating minimal trading activity and difficulty establishing fair value for a specific streaming threshold during a defined week in April 2026. With over 18 months until expiration and no recent price movement from the 2¢ level, this appears to be a dead market that lacks sufficient participant interest to generate meaningful predictions.

Resolution rules

If EL ÚLTIMO TOUR DEL MUNDO has above 21,586,461 Worldwide Streams during the April 17 - April 23, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) >100,000%
IY (No) 607.7%
Adj IY >100,000%
CRI 19
RV 4219%
VR 0.60
▶ Full indicator table (7)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)>100,000%
IY (No)607.7%
Adj IY>100,000%
CRI19
RV4219%
VR0.60
IAR2.0/h

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
81¢
Computed
4/22/2026, 10:17:26 AM
Indicators computed 4/22/2026, 10:08:23 AM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXALBUMSTREAMSU-WUTDMBUNNY26APR23-21.6M yes 100

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