Will emails i can't send by Sabrina Carpenter have above 21,480,400 Streams on Luminate from April 17 - April 23?

Prediction markets currently give a 48% probability that Will emails i can't send by Sabrina Carpenter have above 21,480,400 Streams on Luminate from April 17 - April 23?. This contract trades at 48¢ on Kalshi, closing April 25, 2026. This market is essentially dead with zero open interest and volume, trading at 2¢ with a massive 96¢ spread indicating no meaningful liquidity.

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48¢mid
Bid/Ask 5/91¢·Spread 86¢·Vol $0·OI $0·Closes Apr 25, 2026·3d remaining
KXALBUMSTREAMSU-EICSSCARP26APR23-21.5M
7-day price125 snapshots · 3 regime
6¢5¢ current
Apr 172¢Apr 22

Analysis

3d ago

This market is essentially dead with zero open interest and volume, trading at 2¢ with a massive 96¢ spread indicating no meaningful liquidity. The 0% implied probability suggests the market maker is pricing in extremely low confidence that "emails i can't send" will exceed 21.48 million streams during that specific tracking week, though the negligible trading activity makes this price unreliable as a true probability estimate. With nearly two years until expiration (4/25/2026), this appears to be a speculative niche market that has failed to attract participants, making it unsuitable for serious prediction purposes.

Resolution rules

If emails i can't send has above 21,480,400 Worldwide Streams during the April 17 - April 23, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) >100,000%
IY (No) 607.7%
Adj IY >100,000%
CRI 19
RV 4219%
VR 0.60
▶ Full indicator table (7)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)>100,000%
IY (No)607.7%
Adj IY>100,000%
CRI19
RV4219%
VR0.60
IAR2.0/h

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
86¢
Computed
4/22/2026, 10:17:14 AM
Indicators computed 4/22/2026, 10:08:23 AM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXALBUMSTREAMSU-EICSSCARP26APR23-21.5M yes 100

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