EsDeeKid · KX10SONG-26
EsDeeKid is priced at 36¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 23¢ bid, 37¢ ask, 14¢ spread. This outcome ranks #8 of 16 inside KX10SONG-26.
Price history
36¢ current
+29¢Contract brief
If EsDeeKid has a top 10 song on the Billboard Hot 100 (including features), by the Billboard issue for the week of Dec 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
EsDeeKid
Rank
#8 of 16
Leader
Future 98¢
Range
1¢-98¢
Family volume
$434
Identifier
KX10SONG-26-ESD
May 28, 2026, 7:38 AM UTC · 12m ago
Implied probability
Bid
23¢
Ask
37¢
Spread
14¢
24h volume
$40
Family rank
#8 of 16
16 outcomes · KX10SONG-26
Closes
Dec 26, 2026
Family volume
$434
Orderbook snapshot
23 / 37¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If EsDeeKid has a top 10 song on the Billboard Hot 100 (including features), by the Billboard issue for the week of Dec 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Dec 26, 2026
Identifier
KX10SONG-26-ESD
Event family
KX10SONG-26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$434
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Future 98¢
Current share
9%
Future
kalshi · KX10SONG-26-FUT
Ariana Grande
kalshi · KX10SONG-26-ARI
Sabrina Carpenter
kalshi · KX10SONG-26-SAB
Billie Eilish
kalshi · KX10SONG-26-BIL
21 Savage
kalshi · KX10SONG-26-21S
Tyler, The Creator
kalshi · KX10SONG-26-TYLE
Travis Scott
kalshi · KX10SONG-26-TRA
EsDeeKid
kalshi · KX10SONG-26-ESD
Lil Uzi Vert
kalshi · KX10SONG-26-UZI
Kanye West / Ye
kalshi · KX10SONG-26-KAN
Central Cee
kalshi · KX10SONG-26-CEN
A$AP Rocky
kalshi · KX10SONG-26-ASA
Fred again..
kalshi · KX10SONG-26-FRE
2 Chainz
kalshi · KX10SONG-26-2CH
Addison Rae
kalshi · KX10SONG-26-ADD
Anuel AA
kalshi · KX10SONG-26-ANU
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.