SimpleFunctions
KalshiDec 26, 2026231 days left

Will Billie Eilish have a top 10 song this year?

This contract is priced at 54¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 53¢ bid, 67¢ ask, 14¢ spread.

Implied probability

54¢
$351 volume
$317 liquidity
678% of event volume

Event outcomes

16

Family volume

$52

Best sibling

Gracie Abrams 50¢

Ticker

KX10SONG-26-BIL

Market snapshot

Billie Eilish in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Billie Eilish have a top 10 song this year?. The displayed quote is 54¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $351. In the KX10SONG-26 family, this outcome ranks #4 of 16 by current quote across 16 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC.

Outcome

Billie Eilish

Family rank

#4 of 16

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

54¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Dec 26, 2026

Reported volume

$351

Family context

16 outcomes · KX10SONG-26

Quote range

1¢-99¢

Family leader

Olivia Rodrigo 99¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC · 7m ago

Venue identifier: KX10SONG-26-BIL. Family volume: $52.

Price history

54¢ current

1¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 17, 2026Apr 23, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

53 / 67¢

Kalshi
14¢ spread
BidSize
53¢200
24¢178
23¢274
22¢54
2¢1.0K
AskSize
67¢200
80¢1
89¢165
90¢255
91¢47

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Billie Eilish has a top 10 song on the Billboard Hot 100 (including features), by the Billboard issue for the week of Dec 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Dec 26, 2026

Identifier

KX10SONG-26-BIL

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

139.9%

IY (No)

177.9%

Adj IY

89%

CRI

1

Overround

15.6%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

139.9%
177.9%
Adj IY
89%
1
Overround
15.6%

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