Billie Eilish · KX10SONG-26
Billie Eilish is priced at 53¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 53¢ bid, 67¢ ask, 14¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 16 inside KX10SONG-26.
Price history
53¢ current
−1¢Contract brief
If Billie Eilish has a top 10 song on the Billboard Hot 100 (including features), by the Billboard issue for the week of Dec 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Billie Eilish
Rank
#2 of 16
Leader
Beyoncé 58¢
Range
1¢-58¢
Family volume
$88
Identifier
KX10SONG-26-BIL
Jun 26, 2026, 6:38 AM UTC · 10m ago
Implied probability
Bid
53¢
Ask
67¢
Spread
14¢
Reported volume
$364
Family rank
#2 of 16
16 outcomes · KX10SONG-26
Closes
Dec 26, 2026
Family volume
$88
Orderbook snapshot
53 / 67¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Billie Eilish has a top 10 song on the Billboard Hot 100 (including features), by the Billboard issue for the week of Dec 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Dec 26, 2026
Identifier
KX10SONG-26-BIL
Event family
KX10SONG-26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$88
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Beyoncé 58¢
Current share
0%
Beyoncé
kalshi · KX10SONG-26-BEY
Gracie Abrams
kalshi · KX10SONG-26-GRA
The Weeknd
kalshi · KX10SONG-26-WEE
Billie Eilish
kalshi · KX10SONG-26-BIL
21 Savage
kalshi · KX10SONG-26-21S
SIENNA SPIRO
kalshi · KX10SONG-26-SIE
BLACKPINK
kalshi · KX10SONG-26-BLA
Lil Baby
kalshi · KX10SONG-26-BAB
Kanye West / Ye
kalshi · KX10SONG-26-KAN
A$AP Rocky
kalshi · KX10SONG-26-ASA
Benson Boone
kalshi · KX10SONG-26-BEN
2 Chainz
kalshi · KX10SONG-26-2CH
Addison Rae
kalshi · KX10SONG-26-ADD
Bebe Rexha
kalshi · KX10SONG-26-BEB
Anuel AA
kalshi · KX10SONG-26-ANU
Big Sean
kalshi · KX10SONG-26-BIG
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.