Will Fearless - Taylor's Version by Taylor Swift have above 15,552,633 Streams on Luminate from April 17 - April 23?
Prediction markets currently give a 50% probability that Will Fearless - Taylor's Version by Taylor Swift have above 15,552,633 Streams on Luminate from April 17 - April 23?. This contract trades at 50¢ on Kalshi, closing April 25, 2026. This market is essentially dead with zero open interest, zero 24-hour volume, and a 96-cent spread indicating no active traders are willing to take either side at any price point.
Analysis
This market is essentially dead with zero open interest, zero 24-hour volume, and a 96-cent spread indicating no active traders are willing to take either side at any price point. The 0% implied probability at 2 cents suggests extreme skepticism about Fearless - Taylor's Version accumulating over 15.5 million streams in a single week, though without comparable baseline data on typical weekly stream counts for this track, it's unclear if this pricing reflects genuine improbability or simply market abandonment. With nearly two years until expiry (April 25, 2026), this appears to be a speculative contract with insufficient liquidity to trade meaningfully.
Resolution rules
If Fearless - Taylor's Version has above 15,552,633 Worldwide Streams during the April 17 - April 23, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXALBUMSTREAMSU-FEARSWIFT26APR23-15.6M yes 100