SimpleFunctions
KalshiMay 25, 2026

Will Golden State win the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft Lottery?

This contract is priced at 3¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 2¢ bid, 3¢ ask, 1¢ spread.

Implied probability

3¢
$27K volume
$23K liquidity
381% of event volume

Event outcomes

14

Family volume

$7K

Best sibling

Utah 11¢

Ticker

KXNBATOPPICK-26-GSW

Price history

3¢ current

+2¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 14, 2026Apr 30, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

2 / 3¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
100¢3.5K
2¢1.0K
AskSize
3¢299K
4¢432
5¢2.4K
7¢1.0K
12¢47

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Golden State wins the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft Lottery and is awarded the 1st overall pick, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

May 25, 2026

Identifier

KXNBATOPPICK-26-GSW

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.341

Observability

medium

Event type

sports

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