SimpleFunctions
KalshiMay 25, 202622 days left

Will Indiana win the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft Lottery?

This contract is priced at 14¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 13¢ bid, 14¢ ask, 1¢ spread.

Implied probability

14¢
$14K volume
$10K liquidity
210% of event volume

Event outcomes

14

Family volume

$7K

Best sibling

Utah 11¢

Ticker

KXNBATOPPICK-26-IND

Price history

14¢ current

+3¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 9, 2026Apr 27, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

13 / 14¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
13¢7.5K
12¢1.0K
10¢1.0K
3¢52
2¢2.0K
AskSize
14¢5.8K
15¢301K
97¢5.0K
98¢1.1K
99¢50

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Indiana wins the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft Lottery and is awarded the 1st overall pick, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

May 25, 2026

Identifier

KXNBATOPPICK-26-IND

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

11090.0%

IY (No)

247.6%

Adj IY

5119%

CRI

7

Overround

-0.1%

LAS

0.08

Regime

maker

Score

0.295

Observability

none

Event type

sports

Full indicator table

11090.0%
247.6%
Adj IY
5119%
7
Overround
-0.1%
LAS
0.08

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