SimpleFunctions
KalshiMay 25, 202622 days left

Will Washington win the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft Lottery?

This contract is priced at 14¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 13¢ bid, 14¢ ask, 1¢ spread.

Implied probability

14¢
$8K volume
$6K liquidity
114% of event volume

Event outcomes

14

Family volume

$7K

Best sibling

Utah 11¢

Ticker

KXNBATOPPICK-26-WAS

Price history

14¢ current

+4¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 12, 2026Apr 28, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

13 / 14¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
13¢7.8K
12¢100
11¢1.0K
9¢1.0K
3¢48
AskSize
14¢6.7K
15¢300K
97¢5.0K
98¢1.1K

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Washington wins the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft Lottery and is awarded the 1st overall pick, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

May 25, 2026

Identifier

KXNBATOPPICK-26-WAS

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

11090.0%

IY (No)

247.6%

Adj IY

5545%

CRI

7

Overround

-0.1%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.409

Observability

medium

Event type

sports

Full indicator table

11090.0%
247.6%
Adj IY
5545%
7
Overround
-0.1%

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