SimpleFunctions
KalshiMay 25, 202622 days left

Will Utah win the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft Lottery?

This contract is priced at 12¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 11¢ bid, 12¢ ask, 1¢ spread.

Implied probability

12¢
$27K volume
$26K liquidity
413% of event volume

Event outcomes

14

Family volume

$7K

Best sibling

Charlotte 1¢

Ticker

KXNBATOPPICK-26-UTA

Price history

12¢ current

+1¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 8, 2026Apr 21, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

11 / 12¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
100¢13
11¢3.5K
10¢1.3K
2¢2.0K
AskSize
12¢294K
13¢1.1K
15¢1.0K
96¢5.0K
98¢1.1K

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Utah wins the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft Lottery and is awarded the 1st overall pick, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

May 25, 2026

Identifier

KXNBATOPPICK-26-UTA

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

13407.7%

IY (No)

204.8%

Adj IY

6094%

CRI

8

Overround

-0.1%

LAS

0.09

Regime

neutral

Score

0.409

Observability

medium

Event type

sports

Full indicator table

13407.7%
204.8%
Adj IY
6094%
8
Overround
-0.1%
LAS
0.09

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