SimpleFunctions
KalshiMay 25, 202622 days left

Will Chicago win the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft Lottery?

This contract is priced at 6¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 5¢ bid, 6¢ ask, 1¢ spread.

Implied probability

6¢
$9K volume
$9K liquidity
143% of event volume

Event outcomes

14

Family volume

$7K

Best sibling

Utah 11¢

Ticker

KXNBATOPPICK-26-CHI

Price history

6¢ current

+4¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 8, 2026Apr 29, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

5 / 6¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
100¢1.9K
5¢1.0K
4¢2.5K
3¢1.0K
2¢59
AskSize
6¢301K
7¢100
8¢1.0K
97¢5.0K
98¢1.1K

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Chicago wins the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft Lottery and is awarded the 1st overall pick, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

May 25, 2026

Identifier

KXNBATOPPICK-26-CHI

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

31485.5%

IY (No)

87.2%

Adj IY

12594%

CRI

19

Overround

-0.1%

LAS

0.20

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

31485.5%
87.2%
Adj IY
12594%
19
Overround
-0.1%
LAS
0.20

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