Will Jalen Johnson record 1+ triple-double in a single game in the 2026 Pro Basketball Playoffs?
Prediction markets currently give a 55% probability that Will Jalen Johnson record 1+ triple-double in a single game in the 2026 Pro Basketball Playoffs?. This contract trades at 55¢ on Kalshi, closing July 7, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero volume and open interest, making the 90¢ spread and 4171% implied yield on the Yes side largely meaningless—the 0¢ price likely reflects no actual trading rather than genuine market consensus.
Analysis
This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero volume and open interest, making the 90¢ spread and 4171% implied yield on the Yes side largely meaningless—the 0¢ price likely reflects no actual trading rather than genuine market consensus. The high Cliff Risk Index of 9 combined with the neutral regime suggests significant uncertainty about how this market will behave as it approaches the 7/7/2026 expiry in 79 days, particularly given that the 2026 playoffs themselves may not have occurred yet or pricing could shift dramatically once they begin. Without any liquidity to establish a true market price, this contract is essentially non-tradeable and the metrics should be treated as theoretical rather than actionable.
Resolution rules
If Jalen Johnson records at least 1 triple-double in any playoff game in the 2026 Pro Basketball Playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXNBAPLAYOFF3D-26-JJOH yes 100