Will LeBron James record 1+ triple-double in a single game in the 2026 Pro Basketball Playoffs?
Prediction markets currently give a 60% probability that Will LeBron James record 1+ triple-double in a single game in the 2026 Pro Basketball Playoffs?. This contract trades at 60¢ on Kalshi, closing July 7, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero volume and open interest, making the 0¢ price unreliable—LeBron James has averaged 0.41 triple-doubles per playoff game over his career, suggesting the true probability is substantially higher than the implied 0%.
Analysis
This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero volume and open interest, making the 0¢ price unreliable—LeBron James has averaged 0.41 triple-doubles per playoff game over his career, suggesting the true probability is substantially higher than the implied 0%. The 88¢ spread and astronomical 3730% implied yield on the Yes side indicate this is a dead or mispriced market rather than a genuine consensus, with the high cliff risk index (8) suggesting resolution uncertainty or potential disputes.
Resolution rules
If LeBron James records at least 1 triple-double in any playoff game in the 2026 Pro Basketball Playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXNBAPLAYOFF3D-26-LJAM yes 100