Will Lil Baby be featured on Travis Scott's next album?

Prediction markets currently give a 48% probability that Will Lil Baby be featured on Travis Scott's next album?. This contract trades at 48¢ on Kalshi, closing January 1, 2027. This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and only $11 open interest, making the 48¢ price potentially unreliable for serious positioning.

███████████████████░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░
48¢
Bid/Ask 38/49¢·Spread 11¢·Vol $0·OI $11·Closes Jan 1, 2027·255d remaining
KXFEATURETRAVISSCOTT-27-BAB

Analysis

4d ago

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and only $11 open interest, making the 48¢ price potentially unreliable for serious positioning. The 229.4% implied yield on the Yes side is notably inflated relative to the 86.2% No yield, suggesting the thin order book may be skewed by a small ask rather than genuine probability assessment. With 260 days to expiry and a wide 11¢ spread, traders should expect significant slippage on any meaningful trade size.

Resolution rules

If Lil Baby is featured on Travis Scott's next album before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 233.8%
IY (No) 87.8%
Adj IY 117%
CRI 2
Overround 3.3%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)233.8%
IY (No)87.8%
Adj IY117%
CRI2
Overround3.3%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
11¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 9:41:48 PM
Indicators computed 4/21/2026, 9:38:17 PM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXFEATURETRAVISSCOTT-27-BAB yes 100

Related concepts

Related Prediction Market Questions