Will Don Toliver be featured on Travis Scott's next album

30-day trend

Analysis

This represents the market's assessment that Don Toliver has a 42% chance of appearing on Travis Scott's next studio album. Don Toliver and Travis Scott have an established collaborative history, including features on prior projects, which forms the baseline for this probability. The main drivers are the album's release timeline, Scott's typical feature selection patterns, and whether Toliver remains part of Scott's inner circle at the time of recording. The key catalyst will be the album's official announcement and eventual release, which will definitively resolve whether Toliver appears. Until then, any public statements about the project's direction, roster changes within Scott's collaborators, or new joint releases could shift expectations. Compared to other potential features like Drake (32%) and Future (57%), Toliver's 42% sits in the middle tier of likelihood.

• ›Don Toliver has been featured on multiple Travis Scott projects previously, establishing a track record of collaboration
• ›The timeline and expected release date of Travis Scott's next album remains unannounced, creating high uncertainty about recording participants
• ›Drake and Future show higher market probabilities (57% and 32% respectively), suggesting the market views them as more or less likely than Toliver based on current collaboration dynamics
• ›No official announcements have been made about the album's guest list or recording sessions that would confirm or deny Toliver's involvement
• ›Changes in either artist's public statements, new independent releases, or reported studio activity could shift market expectations significantly

What moved the line

• Aug 22Drake↓20pp24→4¢ · Kalshi
• Aug 17Future↑18pp39→57¢ · Kalshi
• Aug 17Kanye West (Ye)↑17pp37→54¢ · Kalshi
• Aug 17Lil Baby↑12pp27→39¢ · Kalshi
• Aug 20Don Toliver↓11pp64→53¢ · Kalshi

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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.

How we compute these odds