Will LSU go undefeated in the 2026 College Football regular season?

Prediction markets currently give a 5% probability that Will LSU go undefeated in the 2026 College Football regular season?. This contract trades at 5¢ on Kalshi, closing December 28, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and only $125 open interest, making the 2712.8% implied yield on Yes contracts largely theoretical and unreliable for actual trading.

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5¢
Bid/Ask 5/10¢·Spread 5¢·Vol $0·OI $125·Closes Dec 28, 2026·250d remaining
KXNCAAFUNDEFEATED-26-LSU

Analysis

5d ago

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and only $125 open interest, making the 2712.8% implied yield on Yes contracts largely theoretical and unreliable for actual trading. The 5¢ price reflects deep skepticism about LSU's undefeated prospects—a 95% implied probability of at least one loss—which aligns with historical college football outcomes where undefeated regular seasons are exceptionally rare. With 256 days until expiry and a flat 7-day price movement (4¢ to 5¢), this appears to be a dormant niche market with minimal participant interest.

Resolution rules

If LSU goes undefeated in the 2026 College Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 2773.3%
IY (No) 7.7%
Adj IY 1387%
CRI 19
Overround 0.9%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)2773.3%
IY (No)7.7%
Adj IY1387%
CRI19
Overround0.9%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
5¢
Computed
4/22/2026, 1:36:34 PM
Indicators computed 4/22/2026, 1:23:24 PM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXNCAAFUNDEFEATED-26-LSU yes 100

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