Will Miami (FL) go undefeated in the 2026 College Football regular season?
Prediction markets currently give a 16% probability that Will Miami (FL) go undefeated in the 2026 College Football regular season?. This contract trades at 16¢ on Kalshi, closing December 28, 2026. Miami's undefeated regular season odds are priced at just 16 cents, reflecting the extreme difficulty of going 13-0 in a competitive ACC schedule, though the 877% implied yield on Yes positions suggests meaningful uncertainty about whether this probability is too pessimistic.
Analysis
Miami's undefeated regular season odds are priced at just 16 cents, reflecting the extreme difficulty of going 13-0 in a competitive ACC schedule, though the 877% implied yield on Yes positions suggests meaningful uncertainty about whether this probability is too pessimistic. The market shows minimal activity with only $5 in 24-hour volume against $2,250 open interest and a tight 2-cent spread, indicating low liquidity that could amplify price swings as the 2026 season approaches over the next 256 days. The 6 Cliff Risk Index warrants caution, as this thin liquidity combined with a long time horizon creates potential for sharp repricing if Miami demonstrates early-season dominance or suffers unexpected losses.
Resolution rules
If Miami (FL) goes undefeated in the 2026 College Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXNCAAFUNDEFEATED-26-MIA yes 100