Will Middle of Nowhere have at least 140,000 Activity (Combined Sales) on the Hits Daily Double Top 50 Chart for the week immediately following the wide release of Middle of Nowhere?

Prediction markets currently give a 16% probability that Will Middle of Nowhere have at least 140,000 Activity (Combined Sales) on the Hits Daily Double Top 50 Chart for the .... This contract trades at 16¢ on Kalshi, closing May 8, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and open interest, making the 0¢ price potentially unreliable despite the astronomical 41,357.8% implied yield on the Yes side.

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16¢mid
Bid/Ask 7/25¢·Spread 18¢·Vol $0·OI $0·Closes May 8, 2026·17d remaining
KXALBUMSALES-MID-ACT-140000
7-day price5 snapshots · 1 regime
7¢7¢ current
Apr 132¢Apr 20

Analysis

4d ago

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and open interest, making the 0¢ price potentially unreliable despite the astronomical 41,357.8% implied yield on the Yes side. The 18¢ spread is notably wide relative to the price floor, suggesting significant uncertainty among the few market participants about whether Kacey Musgraves' "Middle of Nowhere" will achieve 140,000 combined activity on the Hits Daily Double chart in its release week. With 21 days to expiry and a Cliff Risk Index of 24, this market lacks sufficient liquidity and trading activity to serve as a reliable probability estimate, though the extreme Yes yield indicates sophisticated traders may see value in a contrarian position.

Resolution rules

If Middle of Nowhere by Kacey Musgraves has at least 140,000 Activity (Combined Sales) on the Hits Daily Double Top 50 Chart for the week immediately following the wide release of Middle of Nowhere, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 29290.2%
IY (No) 165.9%
Adj IY 14645%
CRI 13
Overround 7.2%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)29290.2%
IY (No)165.9%
Adj IY14645%
CRI13
Overround7.2%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
18¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 2:45:59 PM
Indicators computed 4/21/2026, 2:38:17 PM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXALBUMSALES-MID-ACT-140000 yes 100

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