Will Midnights by Taylor Swift have above 23,983,750 Streams on Luminate from April 17 - April 23?
Prediction markets currently give a 4% probability that Will Midnights by Taylor Swift have above 23,983,750 Streams on Luminate from April 17 - April 23?. This contract trades at 4¢ on Kalshi, closing April 25, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero open interest and volume, making the 0% pricing unreliable rather than informative about actual resolution probability.
Analysis
This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero open interest and volume, making the 0% pricing unreliable rather than informative about actual resolution probability. The 96-cent spread indicates virtually no market participants are willing to trade, suggesting the threshold of 23,983,750 streams for a major Taylor Swift album during a standard tracking week may be difficult to assess or simply uninteresting to traders. With over 18 months until expiration (4/25/2026), the market has ample time to accumulate activity, but current conditions render it non-functional for prediction purposes.
Resolution rules
If Midnights has above 23,983,750 Worldwide Streams during the April 17 - April 23, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXALBUMSTREAMSU-NIGHTSWIFT26APR23-24.0M yes 100