SimpleFunctions
KalshiJan 1, 2027243 days left

Will Musk have a net worth more than 1000 billion dollars before 2027?

This contract is priced at 72¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 72¢ bid, 73¢ ask, 1¢ spread.

Implied probability

72¢
$36K volume
$18K liquidity
726% of event volume

Event outcomes

6

Family volume

$5K

Best sibling

More than $1.2 trillion 40¢

Ticker

KXMUSKWEALTH-27-1000

Price history

72¢ current

+3¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 8, 2026May 2, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

72 / 73¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
72¢537
60¢16
54¢38
53¢42
52¢48
AskSize
73¢8
74¢500
85¢16
87¢540
92¢41

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Elon Musk has a net worth more than $1 trillion dollars before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 1, 2027

Identifier

KXMUSKWEALTH-27-1000

Event family

Will Musk have a net worth more than.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$5K

Outcomes

6

Highest price

More than $900 Billion 78¢

Current share

12%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

58.4%

IY (No)

386.4%

Adj IY

191%

CRI

3

Overround

1.9%

LAS

0.01

Regime

neutral

Score

0.341

Observability

low

Event type

financial

Full indicator table

58.4%
386.4%
Adj IY
191%
3
Overround
1.9%
LAS
0.01

Odds pages

Related prediction questions

Browse odds

Related readings

Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.

Browse library
Opinionessay

Prediction market liquidity: why depth matters more than volume for serious traders

Why orderbook depth matters more than volume for prediction market traders. Real Kalshi examples, liquidity scoring framework, and how to avoid slippage.

Opinionanalysis

Information Finance Has Arrived: A Material Map of Prediction Markets in Q2 2026

Combined Kalshi + Polymarket volume hit $66B in just four months of 2026 — already greater than the entire 2025 industry total. Bernstein projects $1T by 2030. Two venues hold 95% of US share. The distribution layer fragmented across nine retail surfaces. AI agents are 30% of Polymarket wallet activ

Blogmarkets

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?

In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.

Blogmarkets

Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity

How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.

Technicalguide

Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity

Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.

Opinionanalysis

Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets

Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.

SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index