Will My Everything by Ariana Grande have above 29,904,898 Streams on Luminate from April 17 - April 23?

Prediction markets currently give a 58% probability that Will My Everything by Ariana Grande have above 29,904,898 Streams on Luminate from April 17 - April 23?. This contract trades at 58¢ on Kalshi, closing April 25, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero volume and open interest, making the 0¢ price unreliable as a probability signal.

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58¢mid
Bid/Ask 21/95¢·Spread 74¢·Vol $0·OI $0·Closes Apr 25, 2026·3d remaining
KXALBUMSTREAMSU-MYEVEGRANDE26APR23-29.9M
7-day price125 snapshots · 4 regime
22¢21¢ current
Apr 172¢Apr 22

Analysis

4d ago

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero volume and open interest, making the 0¢ price unreliable as a probability signal. The 96¢ spread is unusually wide for a binary contract, indicating virtually no market participants are willing to trade at any price point. With the resolution date approximately 1.5 years away and a specific streaming threshold tied to a particular tracking week, this appears to be a niche prediction with insufficient trader interest to establish meaningful price discovery.

Resolution rules

If My Everything has above 29,904,898 Worldwide Streams during the April 17 - April 23, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 43438.6%
IY (No) 3069.5%
Adj IY 43439%
CRI 4
RV 3518%
VR 0.62
▶ Full indicator table (7)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)43438.6%
IY (No)3069.5%
Adj IY43439%
CRI4
RV3518%
VR0.62
IAR2.0/h

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
74¢
Computed
4/22/2026, 10:17:27 AM
Indicators computed 4/22/2026, 10:08:23 AM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXALBUMSTREAMSU-MYEVEGRANDE26APR23-29.9M yes 100

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