SimpleFunctions
PolymarketJul 19, 202676 days left

Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

This contract is priced at 40¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 39¢ bid, 41¢ ask, 2¢ spread.

Implied probability

40¢
$578K volume
$6K liquidity
100% of event volume

Event outcomes

1

Family volume

$578K

Best sibling

Ticker

0xb60c044b…4567

Price history

40¢ current

+10¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 8, 2026May 3, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

39 / 41¢

Polymarket
2¢ spread
BidSize
39¢160
38¢227
37¢110
36¢315
35¢140
34¢310
33¢298
32¢512
AskSize
41¢69
42¢155
43¢350
44¢594
45¢534
46¢1.7K
47¢818
48¢483

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Neymar da Silva Santos Júnior takes the field as a player in at least one official match for Brazil during the 2026 FIFA World Cup at the group stage or later. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any on-field appearance as a player will qualify, in regulation, stoppage time, extra time, for a shootout, etc. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Jul 19, 2026

Identifier

0xb60c044b…4567

Event family

This market.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$578K

Outcomes

1

Highest price

Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup 40¢

Current share

100%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

716.7%

IY (No)

318.5%

Adj IY

681%

CRI

2

RV

287%

VR

1.07

Regime

neutral

Score

0.409

Observability

medium

Event type

sports

Full indicator table

716.7%
318.5%
Adj IY
681%
2
RV
287%
VR
1.07
IAR
1.1/h
LAS
0.05

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