Will Oregon go undefeated in the 2026 College Football regular season?
Prediction markets currently give a 13% probability that Will Oregon go undefeated in the 2026 College Football regular season?. This contract trades at 13¢ on Kalshi, closing December 28, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and only $700 in open interest, making the 17¢ price potentially unreliable for serious trading.
Analysis
This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and only $700 in open interest, making the 17¢ price potentially unreliable for serious trading. The asymmetric implied yields (1155% for Yes vs. 17.6% for No) reflect the lopsided risk profile of betting on a Power 4 team to run the table, though the 4¢ spread is relatively tight given the thin liquidity. With 256 days until expiry and no recent price movement from 11¢, this appears to be a dormant market that may see repricing closer to the 2026 season when Oregon's roster and schedule become clearer.
Resolution rules
If Oregon goes undefeated in the 2026 College Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXNCAAFUNDEFEATED-26-ORE yes 100