Will over 2.5 maps be played in the Team WE vs. Weibo Gaming League of Legends match?
Prediction markets currently give a 37% probability that Will over 2.5 maps be played in the Team WE vs. Weibo Gaming League of Legends match?. This contract trades at 37¢ on Kalshi, closing May 6, 2026. This market shows extreme dysfunction with a 0¢ Yes price despite a 73¢ spread and astronomical 71,460% implied yield, suggesting the contract may be mispriced or illiquid given zero 24-hour volume and open interest.
Analysis
This market shows extreme dysfunction with a 0¢ Yes price despite a 73¢ spread and astronomical 71,460% implied yield, suggesting the contract may be mispriced or illiquid given zero 24-hour volume and open interest. The 7-day price collapse from 37¢ to 3¢ combined with 7,364% realized volatility indicates significant uncertainty or potential information about match scheduling, particularly given the original April 22 date has apparently passed while the market remains open through May 6. The 32 Cliff Risk Index and 6.8/hour information arrival rate suggest this market may be experiencing resolution delays or scheduling complications that are driving extreme price movements and should be approached with caution.
Resolution rules
If over 2.5 maps are played in the LPL 2026: Team WE vs. Weibo Gaming League of Legends match originally scheduled for Apr 22, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXLOLTOTALMAPS-26APR220500WEWB-3 yes 100