Will Speak Now - Taylor's Version by Taylor Swift have above 11,354,412 Streams on Luminate from April 17 - April 23?
Prediction markets currently give a 25% probability that Will Speak Now - Taylor's Version by Taylor Swift have above 11,354,412 Streams on Luminate from April 17 - April 23?. This contract trades at 25¢ on Kalshi, closing April 25, 2026. This market is essentially dead with zero open interest and volume, trading at an extreme 0¢ bid despite a wide 33¢ spread that suggests minimal liquidity rather than genuine bearish conviction.
Analysis
This market is essentially dead with zero open interest and volume, trading at an extreme 0¢ bid despite a wide 33¢ spread that suggests minimal liquidity rather than genuine bearish conviction. The threshold of 11.35 million streams over a single week for a re-recorded album track is moderately ambitious but not implausible given Taylor Swift's fanbase, yet the complete absence of trading activity indicates insufficient market interest to establish meaningful price discovery. With expiration on April 25, 2026 (roughly 2 years out), the extended timeframe and zero trading suggest this contract may be too niche or illiquid to attract participants on Kalshi.
Resolution rules
If Speak Now - Taylor's Version has above 11,354,412 Worldwide Streams during the April 17 - April 23, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXALBUMSTREAMSU-SPEAKSWIFT26APR23-11.4M yes 100