Will Taylor Swift by Taylor Swift have above 3,885,897 Streams on Luminate from April 17 - April 23?
Prediction markets currently give a 31% probability that Will Taylor Swift by Taylor Swift have above 3,885,897 Streams on Luminate from April 17 - April 23?. This contract trades at 31¢ on Kalshi, closing April 25, 2026. This market is essentially dead with zero open interest, zero volume, and a 33¢ spread indicating no active traders—the 0¢ price likely reflects failed order matching rather than genuine belief the threshold won't be hit.
Analysis
This market is essentially dead with zero open interest, zero volume, and a 33¢ spread indicating no active traders—the 0¢ price likely reflects failed order matching rather than genuine belief the threshold won't be hit. The resolution criteria targets a specific tracking week (April 17-23, 2026) for a song that already exists, making this a data-dependent event rather than a prediction, yet the complete lack of liquidity suggests minimal market confidence in either outcome or the resolution mechanism. With over 18 months until expiry and no trading activity, this appears to be an abandoned or poorly-designed contract that failed to attract participants.
Resolution rules
If Taylor Swift has above 3,885,897 Worldwide Streams during the April 17 - April 23, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXALBUMSTREAMSU-SWIFTSWIFT26APR23-3.9M yes 100