Will Tempo launch a token by June 30 2026?
Prediction markets currently give a 6% probability that Will Tempo launch a token by June 30 2026?. This contract trades at 6¢ on Polymarket, closing January 1, 2027. This market is pricing in an extremely low 3% probability of Tempo launching a token by mid-2026, yet offers a staggering 4,557% implied yield on the Yes side—a classic sign of illiquidity and potential mispricing with only $4,843.81 in open interest and zero 24-hour volume.
Analysis
This market is pricing in an extremely low 3% probability of Tempo launching a token by mid-2026, yet offers a staggering 4,557% implied yield on the Yes side—a classic sign of illiquidity and potential mispricing with only $4,843.81 in open interest and zero 24-hour volume. The price has declined sharply from 5¢ to 3¢ over the past week, suggesting recent negative sentiment, though the 259-day timeframe and neutral regime score (0.409) indicate no clear directional conviction in the market. The 32 Cliff Risk Index and wide 3¢ spread reflect substantial uncertainty, making this a speculative position dependent on whether Tempo's development roadmap includes a governance token launch within the next 18 months.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tempo (https://tempo.xyz/) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Tempo, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade 0x23862cc33d499e4f93c0fba6e64a4db04d4a83ac5f180458e3d13b97cb9c78d0 yes 100