Will Thank Me Later by Drake have above 19,234,598 Streams on Luminate from April 17 - April 23?
Prediction markets currently give a 56% probability that Will Thank Me Later by Drake have above 19,234,598 Streams on Luminate from April 17 - April 23?. This contract trades at 56¢ on Kalshi, closing April 25, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and open interest, making the 0¢ price unreliable as a probability signal.
Analysis
This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and open interest, making the 0¢ price unreliable as a probability signal. The 96¢ spread is exceptionally wide, reflecting minimal market depth and suggesting any trade would face severe slippage. With the resolution date just over two years away and a highly specific streaming threshold for a 2011 Drake album, this appears to be a niche market with insufficient trader interest to establish meaningful price discovery.
Resolution rules
If Thank Me Later has above 19,234,598 Worldwide Streams during the April 17 - April 23, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXALBUMSTREAMSU-TMLDRAKE26APR23-19.2M yes 100