Will the H200 compute per hour price be above $2.58 on Apr 30?
Analysis
This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and a massive 99¢ spread despite the 85% price, suggesting the quoted price may not reflect true consensus. The implied yield on the "No" side reaches an absurd 17,626.8%, indicating severe mispricing or that traders are demanding extraordinary compensation for taking the contrarian position on what appears to be a consensus bullish view on H200 pricing. The sharp 37¢ price rally over seven days combined with minimal open interest ($407.58) and a 6 Cliff Risk Index suggests this market lacks depth and could experience volatile repricing as the April 30 resolution date approaches in just 12 days.
Resolution rules
If the value of H200 compute per hour is above $2.58 on Apr 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXH200MON-26APR30-2.580 yes 100