Will the H200 compute per hour price be above $2.58 on Apr 30?

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85¢
Bid/Ask 1/98¢·Spread 97¢·Vol $0·OI $407.58·Closes May 1, 2026·11d remaining
KXH200MON-26APR30-2.580
7-day price105 snapshots · 10 regime
88¢1¢ current
Apr 81¢Apr 20

Analysis

21h ago

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and a massive 99¢ spread despite the 85% price, suggesting the quoted price may not reflect true consensus. The implied yield on the "No" side reaches an absurd 17,626.8%, indicating severe mispricing or that traders are demanding extraordinary compensation for taking the contrarian position on what appears to be a consensus bullish view on H200 pricing. The sharp 37¢ price rally over seven days combined with minimal open interest ($407.58) and a 6 Cliff Risk Index suggests this market lacks depth and could experience volatile repricing as the April 30 resolution date approaches in just 12 days.

Resolution rules

If the value of H200 compute per hour is above $2.58 on Apr 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 594.3%
IY (No) 19084.1%
Adj IY 9542%
CRI 6
Overround 22.2%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)594.3%
IY (No)19084.1%
Adj IY9542%
CRI6
Overround22.2%

Regime

Label
taker
Score
0.636
Spread
97¢
Computed
4/20/2026, 8:23:05 AM
Observability directEvent type financial
Indicators computed 4/20/2026, 7:53:41 AM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXH200MON-26APR30-2.580 yes 100

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