Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Ohio be at least 4 percentage points?
This contract is priced at 22¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 21¢ bid, 25¢ ask, 4¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
5
Family volume
$3K
Best sibling
Democrats, 10+ pts 1¢
Ticker
KXMIDTERMMOV-OHSEND-P4
Price history
22¢ current
−18¢Orderbook snapshot
21 / 25¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Ohio by 4 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Identifier
KXMIDTERMMOV-OHSEND-P4
Event family
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Ohio be at least.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$3K
Outcomes
5
Highest price
Democrats, 2+ pts 33¢
Current share
14%
Democrats, 4+ pts
kalshi · KXMIDTERMMOV-OHSEND-P4
Democrats, 10+ pts
kalshi · KXMIDTERMMOV-OHSEND-P10
Democrats, 8+ pts
kalshi · KXMIDTERMMOV-OHSEND-P8
Democrats, 6+ pts
kalshi · KXMIDTERMMOV-OHSEND-P6
Democrats, 2+ pts
kalshi · KXMIDTERMMOV-OHSEND-P2
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Mississippi be at least 23 percentage points
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