Will The Tortured Poets Department by Taylor Swift have above 38,965,496 Streams on Luminate from April 17 - April 23?
Prediction markets currently give a 7% probability that Will The Tortured Poets Department by Taylor Swift have above 38,965,496 Streams on Luminate from April 17 - April 23?. This contract trades at 7¢ on Kalshi, closing April 25, 2026. This market is essentially dead with zero open interest, zero 24-hour volume, and a 96-cent spread indicating no active traders are willing to take either side.
Analysis
This market is essentially dead with zero open interest, zero 24-hour volume, and a 96-cent spread indicating no active traders are willing to take either side. The 0% implied probability at a 2-cent price suggests the market has been abandoned rather than reflecting genuine bearish sentiment on the streaming threshold of roughly 39 million streams for that specific week. With closure on 4/25/2026 and no liquidity whatsoever, this contract appears to be a failed launch that never attracted sufficient interest to function as a prediction market.
Resolution rules
If The Tortured Poets Department has above 38,965,496 Worldwide Streams during the April 17 - April 23, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXALBUMSTREAMSU-TTPDSWIFT26APR23-39.0M yes 100