Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Prediction markets currently give a 6% probability that Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?. This contract trades at 6¢ on Polymarket, closing June 30, 2026.
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6¢Bid/Ask 5/6¢·Spread 1¢·Vol $17,869.525·OI $85,878.788·Closes Jun 30, 2026·63d remaining
0xa7962b12241616d83dcb8c70fc33aa0f48b1ec46a3ad6a23db21d3885dedc4cb
7-day price42 snapshots · 118 regime
50¢6¢ current
Apr 205¢Apr 27
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Indicators
Regime
Label
maker
Score
0.295
Computed
4/28/2026, 11:28:24 AM
Observability noneEvent type political
Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/28/2026, 11:23:53 AM
Trade
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sf trade 0xa7962b12241616d83dcb8c70fc33aa0f48b1ec46a3ad6a23db21d3885dedc4cb yes 100