Will there be more than 30 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Apr 27, 2026 to May 3, 2026?
This contract is priced at 91¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 92¢ bid, 94¢ ask, 2¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
13
Family volume
$27K
Best sibling
Above 60 6¢
Ticker
KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26MAY03-T30
Price history
91¢ current
+1¢Orderbook snapshot
92 / 94¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 30 from Apr 27, 2026 to May 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
May 5, 2026
Identifier
KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26MAY03-T30
Event family
Will there be more than.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$27K
Outcomes
13
Highest price
Above 30 92¢
Current share
4%
Above 30
kalshi · KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26MAY03-T30
Above 60
kalshi · KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26MAY03-T60
Above 50
kalshi · KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26MAY03-T50
Above 40
kalshi · KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26MAY03-T40
Above 100
kalshi · KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26MAY03-T100
Above 70
kalshi · KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26MAY03-T70
Above 90
kalshi · KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26MAY03-T90
Above 80
kalshi · KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26MAY03-T80
Above 120
kalshi · KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26MAY03-T120
Above 140
kalshi · KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26MAY03-T140
Above 160
kalshi · KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26MAY03-T160
Above 180
kalshi · KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26MAY03-T180
Above 200
kalshi · KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26MAY03-T200
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
taker
Score
0.625
Full indicator table
Odds pages
Related prediction questions
Will there be more than 120 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Apr 20, 2026 to Apr 26, 2026
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?: 0-10
Will the Truflation EV Commodity Index on Apr 30, 2026 be above 1155.42
Will the Strait of Hormuz reopen to normal shipping?
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?: 20+
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