Will the Strait of Hormuz reopen to normal shipping?
Kalshi
8 contracts
Polymarket
12 contracts
Contracts
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before May 1, 2026?: Before May 1, 2026
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before May 15, 2026?: Before May 15, 2026
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before June 1, 2026?: Before Jun 1, 2026
Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30?: Netherlands
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?: 80+
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?: 20+
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before July 1, 2026?: Before Jul 1, 2026
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?: 60+
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?: 40+
Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30?: France
Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30?: Italy
Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30?: Germany
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before July 1, 2027?: Before Jul 1, 2027
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before August 1, 2026?: Before Aug 1, 2026
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before January 1, 2027?: Before Jan 1, 2027
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?: 0-10
Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30?: Pakistan
Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30?: United Kingdom
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before April 1, 2027?: Before Apr 1, 2027